Poll

Will Eluid Kipchoge break 2hrs for the marathon this weekend?

Yea
3 (60%)
Nay
2 (40%)

Total Members Voted: 5

Author Topic: He's going for it again...  (Read 4821 times)

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Offline nadra's babydaddy

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He's going for it again...
« on: August 31, 2019, 10:30:30 PM »
Eliud has another sub 2 assault scheduled for October.... https://www.ineos159challenge.com/

I know people have mixed feelings about this stuff, but I find it fascinating.  Curious to see how it will all unfold.  As best I can tell it's just him this time as opposed to the 3 guys who were going for it last time. 

Make it so!


Offline diablita

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Re: He's going for it again...
« Reply #1 on: September 01, 2019, 07:21:11 PM »
I find it fascinating.  He's hit every other time from 2:00 - 2:05 (and some greater, of course).  It's time for him to get this done.
"Some things you just need to do for yourself, even if it means nicking your nads."  --nneJ

Sitting Bull

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Re: He's going for it again...
« Reply #2 on: September 01, 2019, 08:10:27 PM »
Amazing runner!

Offline nadra's babydaddy

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Re: He's going for it again...
« Reply #3 on: September 01, 2019, 10:02:15 PM »
He just has to pick up 1 second per mile from last time.  Absolutely doable, at least in a vacuum. When you factor in the variables like precision of pacing, weather, nuances of the course, experience gained from the last attempt, his conditioning at the time, grit....who knows?  But it's close enough to make for a good show!

Offline nadra's babydaddy

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Re: He's going for it again...
« Reply #4 on: September 17, 2019, 11:20:47 AM »
Let the man run!  59:59 pace should feel like a walk in the park now. 

Offline nadra's babydaddy

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Re: He's going for it again...
« Reply #5 on: September 17, 2019, 11:41:10 AM »
Actually according to McMillan it's only worth about a 2:02.  Go figure. 

According to McMillan our shorter distance world records are soft.  It's worth a 3:36 mile, a 12:31 5k, and a 26:01 10k!  And the Marathon WR is even stronger.  I don't know how well those translations hold up at Kenyan beast mode level, but the comparison is interesting.  Can definitely tell where all the prize money is going!  :runner:

Offline Coyote Mas Loco

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Re: He's going for it again...
« Reply #6 on: September 29, 2019, 08:56:58 AM »
It was almost Eluid who? today. In Berlin Kenenisa Bekele (world record holder at 5K and 10K now in his late 30s) ran 2:01:41, a scant 2 seconds shy of Kipchoge's world record.

Sara Hall 2:22, Sally Kipyego 2:25, and Matt Llano 2:11 for USA. All PRs.
I'll stick to running, thank you.

Offline nadra's babydaddy

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Re: He's going for it again...
« Reply #7 on: September 29, 2019, 03:35:01 PM »
LET THE MAN RUN!!!  :runner:

Offline nadra's babydaddy

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Re: He's going for it again...
« Reply #8 on: October 06, 2019, 11:51:38 PM »


GOGOGO!!!

Offline diablita

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Re: He's going for it again...
« Reply #9 on: October 10, 2019, 02:25:46 PM »
I mean. That’s not word on the street. Those are facts that have been shared.

They have a tremendous number of pacers for this: many incredible names contributing to hopefully be a part of history.
"Some things you just need to do for yourself, even if it means nicking your nads."  --nneJ

Offline Coyote Mas Loco

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Re: He's going for it again...
« Reply #10 on: October 10, 2019, 02:32:01 PM »
I still rather would have seen Kipchoge and Bekele head to head in Berlin the other week.
I'll stick to running, thank you.

Offline nadra's babydaddy

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Re: He's going for it again...
« Reply #11 on: October 10, 2019, 03:23:20 PM »
Well, they will be on the street and I'm sure they have the best words, so there you go!  Looks like a 5am-9am vienna time start, which equates to 9pm-1am here in the mountains if my calculations are correct.  Gonna be a late night!   :luvcoffee:

Sounds like he got to town monday and only just got to see/train on the course, which is a little surprising.  Not that it's really a complicated course, but it's nice to see ahead of time what you're working with. 

I really think not having multiple guys going for it will totally change the psychological dynamic and make it a lot more difficult than people realize.    But it looks like it will be all hands on deck, so we'll see.



Offline diablita

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Re: He's going for it again...
« Reply #12 on: October 10, 2019, 03:27:20 PM »
I still rather would have seen Kipchoge and Bekele head to head in Berlin the other week.

Agree
"Some things you just need to do for yourself, even if it means nicking your nads."  --nneJ

Offline nadra's babydaddy

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Re: He's going for it again...
« Reply #13 on: October 10, 2019, 09:54:14 PM »
***Now with exciting new poll!!***

When your target is something that has never been achieved before, the odds are always against you. 
« Last Edit: October 10, 2019, 10:01:10 PM by nadra's babydaddy »

Offline nadra's babydaddy

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Re: He's going for it again...
« Reply #14 on: October 11, 2019, 11:24:58 AM »
Time has been set.  08:15 local time, 24:15 awesome time, 02:15 eastern time.

Brew some Joe and make it so!



Offline Coyote Mas Loco

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Re: He's going for it again...
« Reply #15 on: October 11, 2019, 01:46:05 PM »
I'll check in after the fact, early tomorrow morning, but not staying up for this.
I'll stick to running, thank you.

Offline nadra's babydaddy

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Re: He's going for it again...
« Reply #16 on: October 12, 2019, 01:06:06 AM »
GOGOGOGOGO!!!

The pre-race speculation is interesting.  Some people are throwing out nonsensical numbers like "woooo 1:57!!".  Then people are saying "what if he flops and does like 2:15?"....I think there's virtually zero chance of either (barring some type of last minute illness/injury).  They're going to push a very thin line; not too slow but not too fast.  Unless he's somehow able to kick it up to beast mode in the last mile or two, I don't think you can expect to see anything under 1:59:30.  At the same time, he's insanely consistent, has experienced this simulation before, and by all accounts seems to have the mental toughness.  Even after he 'faded' last time, he still held on for sub 2:00:30.  And now he has experience in his corner.  Combine all that with how perfectly controlled all the extraneous variables will be, I think a major collapse is highly unlikely.  Either he'll barely get it or he'll barely miss it. 

Offline Ileneforward

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Re: He's going for it again...
« Reply #17 on: October 12, 2019, 02:16:41 AM »
He should have picked a downhill Revel course!    :D
@artbydmcbride

Offline nadra's babydaddy

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Re: He's going for it again...
« Reply #18 on: October 12, 2019, 03:44:27 AM »
Still about 10 seconds under pace at 30k.  Gut check time!  For such a hi-tech event we've seen exactly zero splits.  And the letsrun thread is an endless stream of how female commentators are the worst.  Good to see everything is par for the course. 

Offline nadra's babydaddy

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Re: He's going for it again...
« Reply #19 on: October 12, 2019, 04:04:24 AM »
GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!

 

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